For my final post covering analysis of the latest data from the ONS on death rates by vaccination status I’m going to discuss the available data for deaths in children.
I’m going to state here that the data are complex and I’m not quite sure what to make of them. This complexity is why I didn’t cover them in my discussion on death rates after vaccination in younger adults. Nevertheless, it is important to discuss these data to try to get a more complete picture of the risks of deaths not-from-covid after vaccination.
First of all, let’s get the data out of the way — this is the continuation of the graph shown in part II of my analysis to include those aged 10-14 and 15-19:
As can be seen, this looks on the face of it to be extremely concerning; there’s a suggestion that non-covid death rates are approximately 3-4 fold higher in those aged 15-19 and an astounding 55 times higher in those aged 10-14 for the second vaccine dose.
We really need to discuss these two age ranges separately.
First consider those aged 15-19. Here’s a close up of that part of the graph:
The important thing to note there is the relative reduction in risk of death in the 21 days following each vaccination; this suggests that it isn’t simply that they vaccinated those most vulnerable to death in that age group. Also note that most studies into risks after vaccination only consider the first few weeks after each dose — the chart above suggests that such approaches would be likely to significantly underestimate the risks of the vaccines.
Thus it is possible that the vaccinations have led to an increased risk of death in that age group. Given that otherwise-healthy children in this age range are not at risk of severe covid I would suggest that vaccination in this age group is paused until more is known about post-vaccination risks.
I also note that the above chart is of risk of death. If there is an increased risk of death then it is also likely (though not certain) that there would be an increased risk of life-changing vaccine injury or chronic disease in the vaccinated — the scale of this risk is not clear from the mortality statistics.
What about children aged 10-14?
That looks scary.
But be careful. Note that the risk of death after the first vaccine dose is higher than the unvaccinated; it is thus possible that we’re seeing the unhealthy vaccinee effect, that is, that they preferentially vaccinated highly vulnerable children with the vaccines, resulting in what looks like an increased risk of death in the vaccinated.
On the other hand, the risk of death in the 3 week following the second vaccine had no deaths in this age group — so there might be more to it than simply the unhealthy vaccinee effect.
I’ll suggest for now that while it seems very plausible that there is an increased risk after vaccination in those aged 10-14, it is very unlikely to be as high as indicated in these new data for non-vulnerable children.
Really, much more data are needed for this age group. It is, of course, crazy that there wasn’t highly rigorous pharmacovigilance for the rollout of vaccinations into this age group, but that’s a criticism that can be made against the whole of the vaccine rollout for all ages — quite why there weren’t extensive cohort studies being undertaken as the vaccines were rolled-out, particularly for the younger age groups and second/booster vaccines, is a mystery.
Nevertheless, the post-vaccination death rates for children found in the latest ONS deaths by vaccination status publication are highly concerning and I’d suggest that vaccination of non-vulnerable children and younger adults should cease until a proper investigation is undertaken.
Finally, it is very important to note that the absolute death risks given in the charts above are low. I would fight very strongly to ensure that additional risks are not given to children without benefit, as is suggested might be the case with the covid vaccines, however, the risks remain low — even if it were the case that the vaccines increased risk of death by 25% the actual number of children affected would be small. Of course, any death is a tragedy and this level of increased mortality risk would be a disaster, but nevertheless the vast majority of children would be unaffected. I certainly hope that future releases of data on non-covid vaccine risks don’t show the risks to be getting worse.
We need to remember that your comments apply only to short-term safety signals and that longer-term effects are completely unknown. Given what we do know about LNP biodistribution and the lack of usual animal safety studies (justified purely on the basis of a "vaccine" label being applied), the mass injection of these substances into our children must surely rank as one of the worst public health decisions ever taken.
The FUN part of all these numbers... is that we don't care about any of them until our Skin is in the game!