As I understand it, we can count on mutations with this virus, so it seems we'll be riding this ride for a long time. Perhaps similar to the flu but more frequent than yearly.
It would be interesting if no new variants emerged and case numbers stayed the same, perhaps pointing to the prevalence of immune system dysfunction and/or low white blood cell counts in those vaccinated. I talked to someone yesterday who got a booster months ago. He recently got blood work done because he's on an injection to lower cholesterol (I'm not sure if the vaccine affects cholesterol, he did attributed early thyroid trouble to his first vaccine). His white blood cell count is low. He's attributing it to the cholesterol medication. 😐
The SIR model is what they call a "spherical cow". Mathematically elegant, but completely unrealistic. It can't even account for seasonality, one of the most basic characteristics of influenza-like illness. It doesn't take into account so many factors, I find it difficult to believe that credible epidemiologists would be using it without heavy hypothesis augmentation and supplemental data sources.
Of course scientific "credibility" is the most thoroughly debased currency still circulating at present. Sigh.
Hi, Bartram, I would like to know your academic credentials because you state in The Daily Sceptic that you are "an ex-academic and senior government scientist" as far your articles there are concerned. Could you provide us some insightful data about your background? Thanks.
As I understand it, we can count on mutations with this virus, so it seems we'll be riding this ride for a long time. Perhaps similar to the flu but more frequent than yearly.
It would be interesting if no new variants emerged and case numbers stayed the same, perhaps pointing to the prevalence of immune system dysfunction and/or low white blood cell counts in those vaccinated. I talked to someone yesterday who got a booster months ago. He recently got blood work done because he's on an injection to lower cholesterol (I'm not sure if the vaccine affects cholesterol, he did attributed early thyroid trouble to his first vaccine). His white blood cell count is low. He's attributing it to the cholesterol medication. 😐
The SIR model is what they call a "spherical cow". Mathematically elegant, but completely unrealistic. It can't even account for seasonality, one of the most basic characteristics of influenza-like illness. It doesn't take into account so many factors, I find it difficult to believe that credible epidemiologists would be using it without heavy hypothesis augmentation and supplemental data sources.
Of course scientific "credibility" is the most thoroughly debased currency still circulating at present. Sigh.
Your intuition was spot on! Three weeks later the ZOE curve is confidently marching upwards.
(so do hospitalizations on England)
"Covid is now over "
I do know a very simple way of ending Covid... just stop using PCR kits or LFT. The results of these experiments means nothing.
And we can go back to the good old days were NOBODY cared about cold/flu/pneumonia!
Hi, Bartram, I would like to know your academic credentials because you state in The Daily Sceptic that you are "an ex-academic and senior government scientist" as far your articles there are concerned. Could you provide us some insightful data about your background? Thanks.