I love this article. You prepared it well and your thinking is amazing.
But I would like to say that "additional deaths between days 28-60 post-Covid", in the vaccinated, may be due to their general propensity to die, called excess mortality.
In other words, it really was not Covid at all that killed (most of) them in days 28-60. It was being sickly and unwell due to having been vaccinated.
Good article, though I must take issue with one statement.
"healthcare staff are professionals and would be unwilling to introduce biases into their care"
Many hospitals / doctors have disproven that fact by actively blockingtreatment with ivermectin and HCQ and either sacking or discrediting any doctor who dares to disagree with the dangerous policies in use.
Great analysis/article. Is it possible some of the delayed deaths in vaccinated are secondary to the vaccine itself? Vaccine-related death (adverse event)?
"I think this is highly unlikely — healthcare staff are professionals and would be unwilling to introduce biases into their care." While i agree that they are less likely to do so overtly, I can assure you that these biases have many ways of creeping in and i have witnessed them first hand
"So, why might this be occurring? I can think of a few potential reasons:"
You've left out vaccine efficacy. If the vaccines do, in fact, reduce deaths after infection, then the "benchmark" of 28-day deaths is going to be closer to normal 28-day deaths for a given age group. Lower benchmark means proportionately "higher" day 29-60 deaths as measured against the benchmark.
The unvaccinated have a higher day 28 benchmark, and day 29-60 deaths are naturally less "high" compared to their benchmark. This is further important because it could be disguising an AE signal from first-doses after infection. For example, maybe that is why the 40s+unvaccinated are having extra deaths after day 29 as measured by what should be a pretty forgiving benchmark of day 1-28 deaths. I tried to look up UK guidance for how long to wait after infection before injection and couldn't find any...
I agree with your point 3 suggestion. Residual mucosal anti-spike antibodies competing with innate immunity could prolong infection. I think this is probably a rare outcome. The charts for currently hospitalized + vaccinated in the Israel dashboard over the summer didn't appear to show any "backlog" in clearing vaccinated people out.
I love this article. You prepared it well and your thinking is amazing.
But I would like to say that "additional deaths between days 28-60 post-Covid", in the vaccinated, may be due to their general propensity to die, called excess mortality.
In other words, it really was not Covid at all that killed (most of) them in days 28-60. It was being sickly and unwell due to having been vaccinated.
Good article, though I must take issue with one statement.
"healthcare staff are professionals and would be unwilling to introduce biases into their care"
Many hospitals / doctors have disproven that fact by actively blockingtreatment with ivermectin and HCQ and either sacking or discrediting any doctor who dares to disagree with the dangerous policies in use.
Do you have a similar study for the US numbers? If not, could you put one together?
Great analysis/article. Is it possible some of the delayed deaths in vaccinated are secondary to the vaccine itself? Vaccine-related death (adverse event)?
"I think this is highly unlikely — healthcare staff are professionals and would be unwilling to introduce biases into their care." While i agree that they are less likely to do so overtly, I can assure you that these biases have many ways of creeping in and i have witnessed them first hand
"So, why might this be occurring? I can think of a few potential reasons:"
You've left out vaccine efficacy. If the vaccines do, in fact, reduce deaths after infection, then the "benchmark" of 28-day deaths is going to be closer to normal 28-day deaths for a given age group. Lower benchmark means proportionately "higher" day 29-60 deaths as measured against the benchmark.
The unvaccinated have a higher day 28 benchmark, and day 29-60 deaths are naturally less "high" compared to their benchmark. This is further important because it could be disguising an AE signal from first-doses after infection. For example, maybe that is why the 40s+unvaccinated are having extra deaths after day 29 as measured by what should be a pretty forgiving benchmark of day 1-28 deaths. I tried to look up UK guidance for how long to wait after infection before injection and couldn't find any...
I agree with your point 3 suggestion. Residual mucosal anti-spike antibodies competing with innate immunity could prolong infection. I think this is probably a rare outcome. The charts for currently hospitalized + vaccinated in the Israel dashboard over the summer didn't appear to show any "backlog" in clearing vaccinated people out.
All this data is pure rubbish... Use the famous CR7 PCR method and there will never be another "positive" PCR kit result!
And without a "positive" PCR no more need for us to keep pretending that Pneumonia is something new and pandemic.
Enjoy your posts. On the topic of timing of vaccinations and deaths, thought you may be be interested... https://inumero.substack.com/p/what-will-be-the-steady-state-vaccine?r=tv61s&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web